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Burning The Midnight Oil

Posted by Peter Grandich at 12:36 AM on Tuesday, July 14th, 2009

You think after moving into a 55 and over community I’d be sleeping hours ago. Maybe because I’m one of the “youngest ” older people in the neighborhood I get to stay up late-lol

I see after the close today Nevsun Resources (NSU-ALtnet) announced it has received all acquired credit approvals on its world-class Bisha project. I noted just a few days ago that a very good source had expressed that fears of some sort of failure on the financing side of things was misplaced and that it was just some minor social issues that needed to be fixed.

I’ve stated that NSU is a prime takeover candidate. IMHO you can now start the clock. Don’t expect it to fly to the moon anytime soon nor a bid arise in just days or even weeks, but be confident that it’s going to be awfully hard for a major not to want to get its hands on this world-class project that has a tremendously short payback period.

Providing it doesn’t go vertical tomorrow, I think most mining share portfolios need to own NSU. Typical individual investors are expecting a rocket ship and could become disenchanted if it doesn’t fly out of the gate so hold some buying power if it does gap up on the opening.

VERY IMPORTANT – This NSU deal makes a Grandich Publications client, Sunridge Gold (SGC-TSX-V) the “next kid on the block” in what I believe can be a aggressive area play now in Eritria.

I can’t give you a buy or sell recommendation on SGC because it’s a client and I obviously have a potential conflict of interest. But I can tell serious speculators to do due dilligence on SGC ASAP.

May I suggest you call SGC and ask for Greg Davis or Don Haliday. Their # is 604-688-9478 email info@sunridgegold.com

Update 1100:AM DST

Posted by Peter Grandich at 11:00 AM on Thursday, June 11th, 2009

I’m almost caught up after just a week away from the office. It’s a tough job but somebody has to do it-lol

I want to say it was an absolute pleasure meeting so many blog followers at the Vancouver show. Your words of encouragement were very special to me. I always felt a sense of responsibility to my readers but after you meet so many personally, you come away with even more a desire not to screw up. Thanks again for all the kind words there and here on the blog.

There’s not much to update as yours truly has curled up into a fetal position-lol. I’m very content holding all metals related positions as I think we’re not even close to the explosive stage for precious metals and feel we’ve seen the lows for base metals.

I explained in Vancouver that after 25 years in this business and losing more money than I ever thought I would make as a youngster, I’ve learned to take profits, especially when they come much faster than expected. That’s why I advised taking profits in oil-related recommendations.

Since I’m basically a speculator/gambler, I’ve learned when you swing for the fences its best to have plenty of swings. Profits allow more swings.

I also feel quite comfortable holding my short treasuries and U.S. Dollar positions for the long term.

I’m extremely bearish on the belief that the U.S. economy can return to any real economic growth for years to come. Yes, a recovery is likely but what good will flat growth be anyway? It’s my belief that a multi-year trading range can develop between the lows around DJIA 6500 and 10,500 on the upside. I think the play is to await some a run to the top of the range before going short. If we simply go back towards the lows again I will once again consider the long side depending on the then current fundamental and technical outlooks.

In regards to the few open buy positions and Grandich Clients, here are my latest views:

Taseko Mines – Please see most recent comments

Continental Minerals – Buy up to $1.20. Stock appears to be consolidating recent gains.

Nevsun Resources – Would be a break out on a close above $1.60

All remaining positions in model portfolio are holds.

ATW Gold – The market seems to be realizing that they’re on the threshold of becoming a significant producer and still have excellent exploration potential.

Apella Resources – Still waiting on new developments.

Bravo Venture Group – Soon to be drilling again and the Homestake project is the homerun swing.

Crosshair Exploration – Has lifted off lows thanks to renewed interest in Uranium.

Donner Metals – The Rodney Dangerfield of juniors has finally received a little respect. Here’s to it continuing.

Farallon Mining – The name change says it all. It’s now a producer.

Hawthorne Gold – It too is set to drill and we wait in anticipation of good news.

Knight Resources – Another kick at the can this summer. Here’s to a big kick!

Northern Dynasty Minerals – Is consolidating recent run and is a buy if it gets below $7 again.

Oromin Explorations – Management continues to drill for gold and not investors. This may hurt now but pay off in the future.

Silvermex Resources – Is under review and I hope to have an update out soon.

Sunridge Gold- Just had an update today.

Timmins Gold – Onward and upward towards production now with financings all in place.

Update From Vancouver 3:30PM DST

Posted by jojo at 3:26 PM on Monday, June 8th, 2009

 

            I noted before I took off for Vancouver commentaries from me would likely be limited. This trip has been especially busy as  I’ve      tried to have in-depth meetings with company clients, other public companies and some individual investors. In addition to this, I emcee a good portion of the show and have several individual speaking times.
                 I must say I was insulted by the following post:

           
            Jay Gillespie says:
June 6th
 “You, I, and many got hammered with ANO when you represented them before and nothing good happened. So you blew them off along with their shares. Your most recent comment was something like “the platinum market is ANO’s for the taking, if they want to.” Then you sever you consulting again as well as Rockwell which ranks right up there with Bush’s assertion that Hussein had WMF (with a bit of cooked information). Like Chris, I am most interested in your comments should you now feel you can make what have always been candid assessments. One does not like getting his nuts caught in another nut cracking slide.”

This is not the first time Mr. Gillespie has made comments about me that were totally without merit. It’s extremely rare for me to respond in this manner but I believe my integrity is being unfairly attacked.

First, I was informed last Friday that my services were no longer required by both Anooraq Resources and Rockwell Diamonds. I simply noted that ASAP. I could’ve waited to today or even when I returned to the office but I felt I must note changes in relationships ASAP. My plan was to discuss these two companies ASAP as I’m now doing.

Readers know that when possible, I comment on pass clients, especially when there’s news worthy of comment. Such would and will be the case when it comes to Anooraq.

Mr. Gillespie, Your recollection of my past relationship is totally false and quite frankly an attack on me personally. My original involvement with Anooraq saw a tripling in price whereupon I suggested taking out at least ones original investment. The stock fell to below a dollar whereupon it rose 200%+ again and I suggested selling some again. There’s a long time reader name Rocco who may be reading this. I know he can attest to my recommendation to sell some as he ended up not doing so and regretted it.

To accuse me of blowing off my shares is an accusation that I somehow sold shares at the expense of others. Nothing could be further from the truth. As noted earlier, my services were terminated without any notice and I had no chance to comment and could’ve simply waited to. To compare my actions to Bush/Hussein is an insult.

Now regarding Anooraq, I think the worse is behind them but they need to close the recent announced transaction before major investors become attracted to this situation. Longer term I do believe they have a tremendous opportunity to become one of the biggest producers in the world.

Now a quick rundown on the markets:

I continue to believe the spectacular bear market rally in equities is running out of steam. The continuing rise in interest rates is going to become another bearish factor if we see the ten-year Treasury note get above 4% (It’s getting there).
The anticipated countertrend rally in the U.S. Dollar is underway. The duration and height of it is hard to gauge without my technical analysis of which I should be able to update Wednesday when I return to my office. The rising dollar has indeed impacted gold and silver but as noted last week, I’m delighted it has. I like to see gold trade sideways between $925-$980 as the loner it does the more likelihood it can get above $1,000 and stay there. Oil is starting to finally show some real signs of peaking short-term.

Quick Notes of Interest
• Another sign of socialism coming.
• “Dead Man Walking” takes another blow http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/5473491/Top-Chinese-banker-Guo-Shuqing-calls-for-wider-use-of-yuan.html
• There’s one in every crowd

• I failed to note in my last comment on Sunridge Gold that they disclosed that seven mining companies have signed Confidentially Agreements with them. Another bullish sign.
• I had a chance to look at the technical results of Continental Minerals and I was most impressed. I like the way the stock is consolidating.
• Northern Dynasty Minerals appears to be digesting recent big gains. Any pullbacks under $7 should be a buying opportunity.
• Timmins Gold feels their debt financing is well along the way and completion of it can be very good news. Stay Tuned.
Things should return to normal upon my return to my office on Wednesday.

Peter signing off!
Peter Grandich and radio/TV talk show host Michael Campbell on the 14th tee box at Capilano, West Vancouver.

campbell_grandich_golf

 

 ~~~

This helped change my life. Click here.

Special Alert 10:30AM DST

Posted by Peter Grandich at 10:51 AM on Friday, May 22nd, 2009

This is for High Risk Speculators only!!! - I’m going to add Nevsun (NSU-ALtnet) to my model portfolio right now on the belief they’re very close to completing the rest of their financing for their Bisha mine in Eritrea. If this occurs, I believe it can set two things in motion:

1 – Nevsun becomes a very attractive takeover target and could see a 100% share price increase.

2 – Sunridge Gold (SGC-TSX-V – a client of Grandich Publications) could see a major bump up as the perception could be Eritrea is once again a good place to explore and mine. Believe it or not, I believe SGC has potentially better deposits than Bisha. There’s been zero promotion and the company still has about $7 million in cash. I’m biased due to my working relationship but I believe SGC has some of the best exploration targets in the world today. If you can only choose one of these, my suggestion would be SGC because of more upside potential but it comes with more risk. May I suggest you call Greg Davis or Don Haliday at Sunridge Gold for more information.

Sunridge Gold Update

Posted by Peter Grandich at 7:32 PM on Friday, March 13th, 2009

Sunridge Gold has built a very impressive inventory of metals contained in 4 deposits in just over 4 years of exploration work on their Asmara project located in Eritrea. Their largest and most advanced project, Emba Derho, contains a billion pounds of copper and 2 billion pounds of zinc.

Like all base metal companies, their share price has been hit hard and has even been trading close to their cash position.  When base metals begin to move up again in price, it would come as no surprise to see a significant increase in the share price of Sunridge Gold. We have already seen this in the case of many gold companies and base metals companies should have their day in the sun too.

The combined (NI43-101 indicated) resources in 4 deposits contain 1.28 billion pounds of copper, 2.5 billion pounds of zinc, 1.05 million pounds of gold, and 31.8 million ounces of silver. Management believes that all 4 of the deposits discovered so far are strong economically and each is at different stages of development.

Sunridge currently has over $6 million in its treasury and is  conserving its’ capital by limiting the amount of exploration drilling and focusing efforts on advancing their 4 known deposits towards scoping study/pre-feasibility stage and ultimately to production.

Sunridge is continuing developmental programs on several deposits. A scoping study at the Emba Derho gold-copper-zinc deposit is continuing and should soon be complete. Various studies are also being done at the Debarwa copper-gold deposit and the Gupo Gold deposit.

Emba Derho:

Sunridge is expecting to complete the scoping study on the world class sized Emba Derho copper-zinc-gold deposit by the end of the first quarter of 2009. They have expanded the scoping study to focus on utilizing the excellent infrastructure located in and around the project in Eritrea.

The current resource at the Emba Deho Copper-Zinc-Gold deposit shows an indicated resource of 62.5 million tonnes containing 996 million lbs of copper, 1.9 billion lbs of zinc, 575 thousand ounces of gold, and 20 million ounces of silver.

Debarwa: Metallurgical work is continuing for Debarwa with an emphasis on the high grade copper supergene zone containing 43-101 indicated resources of 1.336 million tonnes averaging 5.36% copper and 1.54 grams per tonne gold. The company continues to conduct exploration work at the Debarwa deposit to potentially expand the high grade zone.

The objective is to examine the fast track to production possibilities of a smaller high grade operation given the more attractive financing options for a smaller operation in the current market.

Gupo Gold Deposit: The Gupo Gold deposit hosts an inferred gold resource containing 189,000 ounces of gold, with an average grade of 3 grams per tonne. The mineralization is at surface and remains open for expansion. Recent metallurgical tests show the gold mineralization could be heap leachable. Current work at Gupo is focused on expanding the resource and moving to indicated category.

The progress of Nevsun Resources is of continuing interest to Sunridge. Nevsun Resources is currently building the the Bisha Gold-Copper-Zinc mine in western Eritrea, which will be the first modern mine in the country. Nevsun announced late in 2008 that it had secured $89 million in debt financing and is expected to complete the debt financing of over $200 million of the mine by the end of the first quarter of 2009. This should demonstrate to the market the mining potential in Eritrea and Bisha is expected to be in production in 2010.

There are several important near term events that could have a positive effect on the share price. The scoping study at Emba Derho is nearly complete and should illustrate the potential of the project. Ongoing work at both Debarwa and Gupo Gold should help generate a solid news flow through the year and Nevsun’s progress at the Bisha deposit should bring positive attention to the mining industry in Eritrea. When the world remembers that it needs copper and zinc, Sunridge Gold is ready!

Grandich Client Update

Posted by Peter Grandich at 12:52 PM on Saturday, January 10th, 2009

Anooraq Resources (ANO-AMEX) – The completion of the acquisition is expected shortly. I believe this should bring a big bump up in the share price. The rise in platinum prices won’t hurt either. Stay tuned.

ATW Gold (ATW-TSX-V) – Like many of the emerging gold producers, ATW is beginning to generate a lot of attention as they move towards production in March.  I have high expectation for 2009.

I’ve put together a quick summary of the company’s progress in Australia to date.  A full corporate update, which will include the updated mine plan and production schedule for Burnakura, is scheduled to be released by the end of the month.   Brent Butler and his team have made considerable progress at both the Burnakura and Gullewa mine sites:

On the exploration side, ATW has had continued success with the drill bit: consistently hitting high-grade intercepts during their fall program:

-      16.0-metre intercept, grading 9.79 grams per tonne gold.

-      23.7-metre intercept, grading 16.0 grams per tonne gold

-      15.6-metre intercept, grading 13.7 grams per tonne gold

Refurbishing of the plant at Burnakura is nearing completion, with the elution circuit for gold recovery and the gold room being the only items remaining to be completed. Recently, the crushing circuit and mill were commissioned with great success.  A video of the crusher has been posted on the company’s website www.atwgold.comm

A new zone within mining distance of the underground workings has been discovered; drilling has yet to fully define this new zone but the results to date will be included in ATW’s new mine plan.

The underground mining contractor has been selected and management tells me they are pleased with the proposed cost for delivery of ore to the plant.

An IP survey and gravity survey were completed on the Gullewa Project.  Interpretation of these surveys show that the current 750,000 oz Deflector Deposit could continue for an additional 1500 meters.  Gullewa should add another dimension to ATW’s story when it is drilled this spring.

Moving ahead in 2009, I believe that ATW can benefit from the easing of fuel prices and labor costs in Western Australia, giving the company some breathing room in their projected cash operating costs of $700 AUD per gold ounce.  The economics at Burnakura continue to be robust, with the price of gold in Australian dollars recently hitting $1200.  The transition from explorer to emerging gold producer can create significant value for shareholders in 2009.

Bravo Ventures Group (BVG-TSX-V) A brand new client. I hope to have a full report out shortly. (more…)

Sunridge Gold (TSX-V:SGC): All About the Numbers

Posted by jojo at 1:28 PM on Wednesday, November 5th, 2008

 

_______________________________________

Share Structure as of November 4, 2008

Share price – CDN$ 0.175
Shares Outstanding – 62,183,013
Fully Diluted – 73,605,513

 _______________________________________

All mining companies out there, both juniors and majors and all sizes in between, have been hit hard in the recent mass sell-off in the markets. This has indeed created a great opportunity to take advantage of key companies that have been greatly oversold.

Many companies will tell you that they are now way under-valued, however the road to recovery will not be the same for all companies. The fundamentals for recovery in the junior mining sector will be three-fold;

1) cash
2) defined economic deposits, and
3) strong management.

Sunridge Gold has all these fundamentals and is positioned for a strong recovery:

• Well financed – almost $CDN 8 million in cash
• Strong Established assets – Total Indicated 43-101 Resources to date from 4 deposits on the Asmara Project in Eritrea contains combined metals of:
-1.28 billions lbs copper,
- 2.5 billion lbs zinc,
- 0.955 million oz gold,
- 31.2 million oz silver.
• Strong management – experience at all levels of exploration, development, and mining with a long history of success.

In addition to the above, there are a couple of key events to keep your eye on which could have a significant positive effect on the share price of Sunridge Gold:

• Nevsun Resources announced last week that they have a a $89 million commitment in the form of debt financing from a major South African bank for the development of the Bisha Project in Western Eritrea. This is great news for the Eritrean mining industry (and Sunridge) as it demonstrates that companies are able to raise debt for development capital of Eritrean projects.
• Sunridge’s “world class-sized” Emba Derho Copper-Gold-Zinc deposit is currently the subject of a Preliminary Assessment Study (scoping study). This study should be complete by the end of the year and will provide a framework of the economics of the project.

Emba Derho

The largest of the deposits on the Asmara project is Emba Derho. The Emba Derho deposit is a very large copper-zinc-gold VMS deposit and a preliminary assessment study (scoping study) will soon be completed on the deposit. This will provide an outline of the economic framework for the deposit. The deposit would be mined by open pit and it is located on excellent infrastructure, as it is located approximately 15 km by paved road from the capital city of Asmara.

Also, as part of the upcoming Scoping Study, Sunridge recently issued an updated resource estimate on their Emba Derho deposit in Eritrea. The resource numbers were already very impressive when I first covered Sunridge Gold back in February, however as I said then, there was much room for expansion.

The new resource estimate reports at Emba Derho reports a “world class-sized” indicated resource of 59 million tonnes, containing:
• 990 million pounds of copper (35% increase since my first coverage in February 2008)
• 1,900 million pounds of zinc (11% increase)
• 485 thousand ounces of gold (20% increase)
• 19.5 million ounces of silver (31% increase)

 The resource update was announced on September 18 – Smack in the middle of the world wide market meltdown – and the market has yet to take advantage of these impressive numbers.

 Emba Derho – Photo of surface

Debarwa VMS Deposit

Work also is continuing at the Debarwa VMS deposit which has an indicated resource of 4.4 m/tones, including a rich copper zone with 1.3 m/tonnes 5.36% Cu, 1.54 g/t Au, 33.87 g/t Ag. Sunridge is conducting metallurgical testing on the high grade copper zone. The company is examining the possibilities of a low capital cost mine that will pull out the high grade copper zone and this is likely the next of the deposits to undergo a scoping study.

Adi Nefas VMS and Gupo Gold Deposit

Both, the Adi Nefas VMS Deposit and the Gupo deposit are in close proximity to the Emba Derho deposit (both with 6 km). When feasibilities studies are conducted at Emba Derho both will be considered as part of the mining plan as ore could be shipped the short distance to a common concentrator located at Emba Derho. The indicated resource at Adi Nefas is 2.7 m/tonnes grading 2.85 g/t Au,99.30 g/t Ag, 1.39 % Cu, & 8.38% Zn and the Gupo Gold deposit contains an inferred resource containing 189,000 ounces of gold averaging 2.99 g/t.

 

 

Red boxes indicate 43-101 Resources
Blue boxes indicate High Priority Drill Targets

Future Exploration Potential

Sunridge has only been exploring the 825 square kilometer Asmara property for less than 5 years and have had great success. With the current situation in the markets, Sunridge is focusing on advancing it’s key projects towards production and has slowed down exploration work to conserve capital.

When market conditions do change however – and they will -they will continue to explore the numerous other high priority targets in the same systematic process that so far discovered Emba Derho and Adi Nefas deposits.

Sunridge has so far 9 high priority new drill targets along proven VMS trends containing numerous strong gossans with geochemical and geophysical anomalies. These include: Adi Musa, Dairo Paulus, Shooting Star, Kodadu, Adi, Lamza, Shiketi, Adi Rassi, and several yet to be named targets (see map).

Bottom Line

Many companies will tell you that they are undervalued. The key difference is that I believe Sunridge’s deposits will prove to be deemed economical. With the impressive amount of contained metals in “Indicated” category (see table below) and a beaten up current market cap of approximately only $10 million, I see a tremendous opportunity right now in Sunridge Gold.

Sunridge Gold is committed to conservation of capital while focusing on moving their resources towards feasibility for when markets do rebound – which of course they will. Management understands the need to do this balancing act of watching their finances closely while forwarding their projects towards production.

 

Property Million lbs Cu Million lbs Zn K oz Au M oz Ag
Emba Derho 990 1.900 485 19.5
Debarwa 203.6 57 220 3
Adi Nefas 83.7 503.6 250 8.7
Totals 1,280 2,466 955 26.6

 

 

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My Interview on BNN “Market Call Tonight”.

Posted by Peter Grandich at 10:01 PM on Friday, October 24th, 2008

For those of you that missed my Friday night BNN interview, or for my American friends that don’t catch BNN, please find enclosed a link to my BNN Interview.

This is a two-part interview.  Wait for the video to go to second part when part one is finished.

Sunridge Gold Update

Posted by pgrandich at 9:15 AM on Monday, September 15th, 2008

Sunridge Gold (SGC-TSX-V $.33) - In these heavily oversold market conditions, this is one of the most severe examples of an undervalued company with investors “throwing the baby out with the bathwater.” Sunridge continues to develop very large assets on its Asmara Project located in Eritrea and some key announcements are expected in the next few weeks.

Sunridge is now in the final stages of completing a scoping study on the large Emba Derho copper-zinc-gold VMS deposit. The scoping study is expected to be completed early next month, however an updated resource estimate can be expected as early as this week.

The initial resource at Emba Derho came out late in 2007 and reported a very large resource of almost 50 million tonnes containing 1.7 billion lbs zinc, 735 million pounds copper, 402,000 ozs Gold, and 15 million ozs silver. The updated resource estimate will include expansion drilling completed on the Emba Derho deposit since the initial resource was calculated and will include some of the largest intercepts as well as some of the best copper grades drilled on the project to date.

Sunridge remains well financed, with over $8 million in the bank and will not need to finance for some time yet

The company currently has four NI43-101 deposits, all located on the 825-square-kilometer Asmara Project, with a very impressive inventory of metals in the ground. They have a global indicated combined resource containing 2.3 billion pounds of Zinc, 1.02 billion pounds of copper, 872,000 ounces of Gold, and 27 million ounces of silver (combined value of over $7 Billion).

Sunridge has strong support from the local government and both parties are determined to fast-track this project into production.  Hello?