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Short Update

Posted by Peter Grandich at 9:04 AM on Wednesday, November 4th, 2009

I updated model portfolio recommendations. Please note I extended the buy zone on Continental Minerals. The trading pattern continues to suggest heavy accumulation. We now have two business competitors who appear not to like each other and both apparently need what KMK has. I think a $3+ share price is what it would take to get management’s support of a friendly bid. Stay tuned!

The more I look at metal prices and Bisha, the more I love Nevsun Resources. Given what metal prices have done of late, I think $3 or under is relatively cheap for NSU shares. Great Basin Gold remains quite cheap given the big bump up in gold prices.

Friday’s employment number is almost certainly IMHO the key to what the U.S. stock market does for the balance of the year. Any real indication that unemployment is easing should give the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” crowd the ammunition to resume it’s march towards DJIA 10,500+. On the other hand (I never like to hedge but it’s the right choice at the moment), a surprise bump up in unemployment should remove whatever hot air remains under the market and lead to a sharper decline. Friday is key!

The floor I spoke of in gold at four digits is now in. Numerous so-called experts, money managers, investors, etc., were either outright bearish, turned bearish or became weak kneed and looked for a correction when gold was around $1,000. They never got a chance to get back in and now the market has gotten away from them. The natural tendency is to try and talk the gold price back so you can justify not chasing to get back in but that has not been a worthy approach for years in gold. The bears have a gigantic problem. Sorry but I won’t lose any sleep over the anti-gold getting their just dessert.

The U.S. Dollar continues to be long on anticipation of a bear market rally but way short on delivering on it. Again, it needs to get above 78 on the U.S. Dollar Index before we change even our short-term outlook.

I still hope to see oil at $85+ in hopes of getting short again. Natural gas is ho-hum.

I continue to like shorting U.S. Treasuries 10 and 30-yr maturities.

Off to Toronto for BNN tomorrow then Montreal Investment Conference.

Good news for NY Jets fans. They can’t lose this Sunday. Wish I could say the same for NY Giants.

Yankees clinch World Series tonight!

Grandich on TruNews Radio

Posted by Peter Grandich at 5:28 PM on Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

Listen – Starts around 12 minute mark

Silver Quest Resources – Superb Management and Strong Projects Potential

Posted by jojo at 10:32 PM on Monday, November 2nd, 2009

I am pleased to have been engaged by Silver Quest Resources. Silver Quest and it’s predecessors have a long history in the mining industry as one of the first junior mining companies to list on the Venture Exchange.  Silver Quest is an exploration company filling a niche in British Columbia, Yukon, and Ontario by advancing and developing silver and gold resources.  I like this company for three main reasons.  The company’s president, Randy Turner, is committed to the success of the company, as proven by his more than 15 years of involvement in various roles.  Second and third, I like the two main assets, the Capoose –Silver Trend property and the Davidson Property, both silver and gold properties with vast upside potential located in central BC.
Great Leadership
Mr. Randy Turner, the new President and CEO of Silver Quest, is a skilled and qualified professional geologist with over thirty-eight years of mineral exploration, business and financing experience to draw from.   Mr. Turner has spent the majority of his career working for Canadian mineral companies.  As president of Winspear Diamonds Inc., Mr. Turner guided the company from the discovery of the Snap Lake diamond deposit in northern Canada through its sale to De Beers Mining for C$305 million.
Prior to his position at Winspear, Mr. Turner was president of Trimin Resources Ltd. where he was involved in the development and sale of the McIlvenna Bay copper/zinc deposit in Saskatchewan.  Mr. Turner also spent many years working on property acquisitions and joint ventures for Esso Minerals in Canada and AGIP Mining in the US and Australia.  Mr. Turner’s knowledge, contacts and experience in the exploration industry are an invaluable asset to Silver Quest, and one of the reasons, I believe, that this company is truly one to watch as they have great potential knocking at their door.
BC Properties
Silver Quest’s main area of exploration is Central British Columbia, approximately 120 kilometres southwest of Vanderhoof.  The company’s three main assets, the Capoose-Silver Trend, the Davidson and the 3T’s properties are all located within this region.  Although I won’t go into too much detail at this time on the 3T’s property, it is worth mentioning that the property already has NI 43-101 inferred resources of 2,356,937 ounces of silver and 148,100 ounces of gold.  Management has also informed me that 3T’s should be the site of a winter drill program early in 2010 with the goal of expanding the known gold and silver resources.

silver_quest_11-02-09_1BC Property location map

Capoose – Silver Trend
The Capoose-Silver Trend property is the Company’s flagship project.  Silver Quest has put together a land package totalling over 14,000 ha surrounding a historical mineral resource of 32.66 million ounces of silver and 308,500 ounces of gold.  To-date, 112 drill holes have defined three mineralized zones which remain open in all directions and at depth.  Also of significant interest is a five kilometre long silver-gold-copper-lead-zinc soil geochemical anomaly with multiple high priority targets that are defined and drill ready, but currently untested.  The five kilometre long mineralized trend encompasses the historical resource and trends in a north-easterly direction.  At the south end of the Capoose-Silver Trend land holdings there are multiple mineralized showings that need to be further explored; these include the Fawn, Buck and Rut mineral occurrences.
Silver Quest’s recently completed drill program included 1,692 m spread across 13 diamond drill holes.  The focus of the program was to test the extensions of the south end of zones one and two, as well as to test the area between the two zones.  Silver Quest’s concept is that the current three zones are actually connected creating one large disseminated gold and silver deposit.  Last year’s program included drill hole D-08-91 which successfully connected zones one and two at their north ends and yielded 240 m of 45.5 g/t silver and 0.76 g/t gold.  Silver Quest has only received assay results from the first hole of this years program, D-09-100, which was drilled at the south end of zone one and appears to expand mineralization to the south.  Two areas of significant mineralization were intersected in this hole; an upper zone of 16 m grading 67.9 g/t silver and 0.26 g/t gold, and a lower zone of 30 m grading 23.1 g/t silver and 1.99 g/t gold, with a 9 m higher grade zone within the interval of 61.8 g/t silver and 4.72 g/t gold.  These results are extremely encouraging and I look forward to seeing further high-grade results from the remaining twelve drill holes completed this year.  I also anticipate an NI 43-101 resource calculation on the Capoose-Silver Trend property by the second quarter of 2010.

silver_quest_11-02-09_2Capoose-Silver Trend drill hole location map and estimated zones of mineralization

Davidson Property
Silver Quest holds 100% interest in the Davidson property, located 10 kilometres west of the Capoose-Silver Trend property.  The Davidson Property has been optioned to Richfield Ventures, which included Davidson in a larger land package called the” Blackwater Project”.  Richfield has completed 15 holes totalling more than 2,450 m this year.  The majority of these holes have been collared on Silver Quest’s Davidson property and have confirmed and expanded historical mineralization in three mineral zones.  Richfield believes the area may contain a bulk tonnage gold deposit.  The best hole to date on the Davidson property was a Silver Quest hole drilled in 2005, DAV-05-02, that assayed 3.4 g/t silver and 1.43 g/t gold over 140.5 m.  Richfield has recovered many intersections that have similar values of gold and silver over long intervals including BW 48 which returned 148 m of 5.0 g/t silver and 1.26 g/t gold.  Richfield is lead by a group of experienced and knowledgeable individuals.  The group is well financed and plans on completing the earn-in option on the Davidson property towards the middle of 2010.  It is expected that Silver Quest will retain a 40% interest in this property; a significant amount for the upside potential, but a reasonable amount to be able to fund their portion of further exploration while also being able to advance their flagship project, the Capoose-Silver Trend Project.  I look forward to the release of the results from the remaining four drill holes, and hope to see a resource calculation released prior to next summer.

silver_quest_11-02-09_3Drill hole location map from Richfield.  Davidson property is above the blue line

Additional Properties
In addition to the Company’s BC projects, Silver Quest has a package of early-stage projects located in the booming White Gold Area of the Yukon and the Thunder Bay Region of Ontario, creating an in-depth pipeline of projects for advancement.  At the top of the list is the Boulevard project recently optioned from Kiska Metals and Northgate Minerals.  A new gold discovery was made last year in the trenches on Boulevard.  The discovery trench, TRV0801 returned 7.04 grams per tonne (g/t) gold over 6.0 metres.  A second trench, TRBV0802 returned 6.43 g/t gold over 2.0 metres.  The Boulevard project has been soil sampled, trenched and drilled over the past three years.  Silver Quest completed an auger soil sampling program this year to better define the targets to be drill tested next season.

Bottom line
Silver Quest is a company in all the right geographical locations, building and defining resources with a pipeline of strong exploration properties to deliver upside potential. The quality of Silver Quest’s Projects, and the added value of an experienced management team and board, makes this worthy of consideration for most speculators portfolios.

Holy Taseko!

Posted by Peter Grandich at 4:02 PM on Monday, November 2nd, 2009

I was taken aback by the big bump up on mineral reserves at Taseko’s Prosperity deposit. Because Taseko was first in my model portfolio before becoming a client, I keep it in the portfolio and provide buy and sell thoughts. With this big bump up and the belief a party or parties is likely to become part of the Prosperity development (if and when they get the go ahead), I’m going to raise the buy area up to $2.85

Model Portfolio Updated. Comments on Some Clients.

Posted by Peter Grandich at 9:14 AM on Monday, November 2nd, 2009

It appears the long suffering gold bears have once again failed in yet another attempt to shake the market lower. While the media remains focus on receiving advice about the future from a few chronic bad forecasters from the past, gold appears like it has all but completed its latest consolidation and ready to challenge $1,100 before years-end. As I said all along – the surprises in gold should mostly be to the upside.

With this in mind, I updated the model portfolio this morning.

In regards to some clients of Grandich Publications:

Formation Capital (FCO-TSX) is so close to finalizing their mine developing package one could taste it. Stay tuned.

Sunridge Gold (SGC-TSX-V) management tells me they’re quite please with their on-going exploration program. The $.60 area appears to be a level those not yet believers can become one at an undervalued entry point.

Timmins Gold (TMM-TSX-V) is perhaps one of the most undervalued companies on my entire list.

A Service You Should Consider

Posted by Peter Grandich at 4:54 PM on Wednesday, October 28th, 2009

After once being  a legend in my own mind, I’ve easily accepted the fact I will never be the smartest, second smartest, etc., guy in the world. Instead, I realized if I could find individuals and groups who have demonstrated to me a special skill, I could incorporate all of them into my thoughts and hopefully then have something good going for me. A case in point would be my belief that Mr. David Walker is a 21st century financial prophet and it paid handsomely incorporating that into my work.

Here’s two links to a super service I believe just about all readers can benefit from. You can begin receiving it free by just providing your email address. I fully support their comments on the gold and the U.S. stock market.

Update

Posted by Peter Grandich at 3:18 PM on Wednesday, October 28th, 2009

Markets are quite interesting at the moment. The inevitable stock market correction appears to have finally taken hold. A 5%-10% decline would be the least one would look for as of right now. I wouldn’t yet bet against the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” crowd so I’m quite content on watching this unfold from the sidelines.

Gee, gold options expired today and what do you know gold fell $30+ the last three days. What a coincidence. I suspect we’ll see a bounce in gold followed by some selling to see if the bears can finally do some real damage. Based on their track record up until now, I wouldn’t break into a sweat if you’re long term bullish like me.

The U.S. Dollar is once again trying to get some sort of a counter-trend rally going but needs to get a close above 78 on the U.S. Dollar Index to do so. Even if it does, any rally looks like it should be capped below 84.

I remain neutral on oil and screaming bearish on 10yr. and higher U.S. Treasuries.

I’m going to put a buy again on NSU as this sharp correction from $3.40 just last week seems to have been enough of a correction. I paid up to $2.60 today and will use that as a buy limit.

I’m adding a new recommendation to my model portfolio. Buy East Asia Minerals (EAS-TSX-V $1.78) up to $1.85

Keep a $1.55 buy limit on KMK until further notice. There’s a lot more to this situation than meets the eye so be careful of what you assume is real information from people who may be playing with one or two hands tied behind their backs.

Things

Posted by jojo at 9:59 PM on Tuesday, October 27th, 2009

gold_10-23-09

As noted over the weekend, option expiration in the gold market led to weakness. What a surprise-lol! While risk remains to $1,015 – $1,025, and even as low as either side of $1,000 if the U.S. Dollar can get above 78 on the U.S. Dollar Index, don’t lose sight of the bigger technical picture. Richard Russell of The Dow Theory Newsletter has correctly noted how gold has once again broken out from a bullish triangle formation. We remain in a secular bull market that’s been stealth-like and dominated in the news by bears (who have been wrong over and over again) and weak-kneed bulls who missed the latest up move and desperately need a bigger pullback to get back in so not to lose face.

Crack In The U.S. Stock Market?

Did He Really Say This?

Sad But True

Israel, Sooner or Later

What’s Playing In Your Heart?

Special Update

Posted by Peter Grandich at 10:53 AM on Saturday, October 24th, 2009

I had a chance to run my technical market analysis last night and it suggested the U.S. stock market is now in its most vulnerable position for a correction since the March lows. This doesn’t mean it’s a certainty but does suggest the chances are significant we can see a 5%-10% correction so be alert. The fact that I had a chance to converse with one of the world’s best market technicians last night, Mark Leibovit, did a play a role in this thought as he also is now in a sell mode on the stock market. I very much look forward to his presentation later today.

It’s important to note that gold option expiration’s will occur early next week and they tend to bring short-term weakness with them. I continue to believe this is a period of consolidation/correction for gold with risk down to $1,015 – $1,025. But any big surprises should only be on the upside.

Have a most blessed weekend!

Update From Vancouver

Posted by Peter Grandich at 11:58 AM on Thursday, October 22nd, 2009

No rain today (tonight is expected to be another story) so hoping to head up to Whistler for the day.

U.S. Stock Market – Yesterday’s late day sell-off was the first of its kind in quite awhile. The market has not had a 10%+ correction since the March lows. We’ll need to watch the next couple of days to see if one has finally arrived. Whether it does or not the market continues to “melt-up” and my target of DJIA 10,500-11,000 remains intact.

U.S. Dollar – In 25 years+ in this business, I can’t recall any single market having such an overwhelming number of bears (95% bears in U.S. Dollar Futures) and not see a reversal of some magnitude. There are just so many legitimate bearish factors continuing to pile up against the U.S. Dollar. The only hope for some counter-trend rally to begin would come IMHO if the U.S. Dollar Index could close above 78. Until such time, the path of least resistance remains down.

Gold – Sorry for the bad language but if you’re a bear you have to be poo-pooing in your pants right about now. Despite widespread bearishness not only from the usual wrong suspects, many former bulls became weak kneed or outright bearish and continue to see the market move away from them. Gold has shown tremendous internal strength by actually self-correcting intra-day by selling off only to come roaring back. Today so far has been no exception. We’re in a secular bull market that has been “stealth-like” and despite being a few dollars from it’s all-time nominal high, gold remains hated and/or ignored by most. I LOVE IT!!!!

Oil - Oil indeed broke out above $76 and has $85+ written all over it. If it can get there with the DJIA also hitting my target, both could become shorts so stay tuned.

U.S. Interest Rates – Going much higher over time!

I’ve met with a few companies so far on my trip and here’s a summary of those meetings as of now:

Effective immediately, I’ve resigned my position with ATW Gold. I’ve said over and over again that management is the key for a junior’s ability to be the one in ten that makes it. While I have considerable personal respect for Graham Harris of ATW Gold, I believe his management team has not done the job. While I believe Graham will try hard to right the ship, the bottom line is they lost the confidence of shareholders, myself and the market in general. I think there are too many others who offer better opportunity at this time and one should recognize this and move on.

I had a terrific meeting with the management of Evolving Gold. Yesterday’s drill results IMHO strongly suggest that they have true home-run potential. I no longer think the question is DO they have something but HOW BIG will it end up? Management agreed with me that they have room for improvement on the corporate communication side of things but don’t let that be a knock against them. Remember, they’re the very same management team which has discovered and is developing what 99% of all other management teams can only dream about. I CONTINUE TO BELIEVE ANYTHING UNDER A BUCK IS AN AGGRESSIVE SPECULATIVE BUY.

Met with Hunter-Dickinson management and had great updates on Farallon, Taseko, Northern Dynasty and Continental Minerals. With great bias I must tell you in all my years associated with HD, I never found them as confident in one of their deals as they are with KMK.

I had an in-depth update on Sunridge Gold. They have all the makings of becoming the next Nevsun. Company is on European road show. I’m told to look forward to lots of news flow.

Must Watch! For all those who make fun of people like me and others that speak openly about the U.S. government’s “Working Group”, I strongly suggest you watch this video.

God Bless!